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Top 10 players on their 15th birthday

  #  

Player Rating +/-
1 Kramnik, Vladimir260861
2 Kamsky, Gata259454
3 Bu Xiangzhi253250
4 Ponomariov, Ruslan251455
5 Polgar, Judit251450
6 Malakhov, Vladimir251353
7 Kasparov, Garry K251269
8 Bacrot, Etienne251149
9 Leko, Peter250948
10 Kundin, Alexander250470

About these ratings

All players on their 15th birthday

  #  

Player Rating +/- Best? 75%? Rating Date
1 Kramnik, Vladimir 26086142.3%#405/31/1990: #58
2 Kamsky, Gata 25945429.3%#405/31/1989: #70
3 Bu Xiangzhi 2532504.3%#1112/04/2000: #236
4 Ponomariov, Ruslan 2514552.6%#1409/30/1998: #297
5 Polgar, Judit 2514501.9%#1406/30/1991: #269
6 Malakhov, Vladimir 2513532.3%#1410/31/1995: #317
7 Kasparov, Garry K 2512695.0%#1602/28/1978: #137
8 Bacrot, Etienne 2511491.7%#1412/31/1997: #318
9 Leko, Peter 2509481.4%#1408/31/1994: #326
10 Kundin, Alexander 2504704.2%#1805/31/1996: #385
11 Harikrishna, Penteala 2470490.2%#2305/07/2001: #529
12 Fischer, Robert J 2464691.2%#2812/31/1957: #100
13 Shirov, Alexei 2458731.2%#3106/30/1987: #337
14 Inarkiev, Ernesto 2451640.5%#3212/04/2000: #645
15 Dao Thien Hai 2448570.2%#3204/30/1993: #611
16 Sadler, Matthew 2440600.2%#3504/30/1989: #505
17 Zakharov, Alexander S 2439620.2%#3505/31/1996: #746
18 Alekseev, Evgeny 2431540.1%#3711/27/2000: #761
19 Morozevich, Alexander 2428660.3%#4106/30/1992: #673
20 McShane, Luke J 242649#3712/31/1998: #770
21 Turov, Maxim 2422620.1%#4211/30/1994: #797
22 Smerdon, David 2419610.1%#4309/13/1999: #820
23 Short, Nigel D 241454#4305/31/1980: #351
24 Avrukh, Boris 2414730.3%#4912/31/1992: #803
25 Volokitin, Andrei 241354#4406/11/2001: #910
26 Grischuk, Alexander 240655#4810/31/1998: #948
27 Eljanov, Pavel 2398750.2%#5804/30/1998: #1068
28 Har Zvi, Ronen 2396730.1%#5809/30/1991: #876
29 Mecking, Henrique 239459#5512/31/1966: #222
30 Korobov, Anton 239158#5606/19/2000: #1051
31 Kaminski, Marcin 238555#5802/29/1992: #991
32 Almasi, Zoltan 238257#6107/31/1991: #962
33 Naiditsch, Arkadij 238152#5910/23/2000: #1107
34 Van den Doel, Erik 237964#6404/30/1994: #1141
35 Lesiege, Alexandre 237862#6407/31/1990: #890
36 Popa, Valentin 237469#6911/30/1989: #872
37 Riazantsev, Alexander 237452#6309/11/2000: #1212
38 Aronian, Levon 237056#6709/30/1997: #1338
39 Vajda, Levente 236463#7201/31/1996: #1466
40 Grigoriants, Sergey 236461#7210/31/1998: #1374
41 Shinkevich, Vitaly 236458#7105/31/1997: #1435
42 Miton, Kamil 236355#7104/12/1999: #1299
43 Jakovenko, Dmitrij 235968#7705/31/1998: #1475
44 Bryzgalin, Kirill 235560#7711/30/1997: #1495
45 Gyimesi, Zoltan 235273#8403/31/1992: #1250
46 Polgar, Sofia 234953#7710/31/1989: #1003
47 Svidler, Peter 234962#8205/31/1991: #1184
48 Stevic, Hrvoje 234866#8412/31/1994: #1481
49 Shaposhnikov, Evgeny 234759#8105/31/1996: #1641
50 Leitao, Rafael 234362#8511/30/1994: #1541
51 Sirigos, Nikolaos 234375#9205/31/1992: #1309
52 Sakaev, Konstantin 234275#9203/31/1989: #999
53 Krush, Irina 233957#8511/30/1998: #1649
54 Vescovi, Giovanni P 233960#8705/31/1993: #1454
55 Parker, Jonathan 233964#8804/30/1991: #1242
56 Agdestein, Simen 233966#8904/30/1982: #561
57 Schwartzman, Gabriel 233961#8709/30/1991: #1296
58 Gross, David 233868#9106/30/1993: #1463
59 Adams, Michael 233373#9610/31/1986: #738
60 Krakops, Maris 233271#9603/31/1993: #1499
61 Navara, David 233154#9003/27/2000: #1663
62 Topalov, Veselin 232866#9602/28/1990: #1206
63 Blehm, Pawel 232759#9303/31/1995: #1735
64 Chudnovsky, Jacob 232568#9906/30/1995: #1800
65 Geller, Jakov 232463#9808/06/2001: #1748
66 Sepman, Yelius 232372#10203/01/1999: #1696
67 Vallejo Pons, Francisco 232153#9507/31/1997: #1979
68 Szabo, Gergely 232075#10503/31/1998: #1942
69 Acs, Peter 231849#9604/30/1996: #2009
70 Anand, Viswanathan 231875#10711/30/1984: #721
71 Kumaran, Dharshan 231762#10205/31/1990: #1255
72 Shaked, Tal 231667#10501/31/1993: #1674
73 Liss, Eran 231572#10806/30/1990: #1298
74 Mamedov, Nidjat 231474#10903/27/2000: #1855
75 Batsanin, Dmitry 231456#10103/31/1998: #2038
76 Vovsha, Eli 231255#10201/31/2000: #2004
77 Guseinov, Kadir 231161#10605/21/2001: #1896
78 Smirnov, Pavel 230865#10903/31/1997: #2175
79 Fressinet, Laurent 230763#10910/31/1996: #2196
80 Libiszewski, Fabien 230569#11312/31/1998: #2133
81 Anisimov, Pavel 230366#11304/16/2001: #1979
82 Reinaldo Castineira, Roi 230075#12003/31/1995: #2075
83 Hummel, Patrick 230067#11606/07/1999: #2071
84 Gashimov, Vugar 229766#11707/23/2001: #2061
85 Potkin, Vladimir 229671#12005/31/1997: #2356
86 Stefansson, Hannes 229666#11706/30/1987: #904
87 Dudukin, Ilya 229473#12206/21/1999: #2153
88 Kosteniuk, Alexandra 229360#11704/19/1999: #2166
89 Bruzon Bautista, Lazaro 229165#12104/30/1997: #2466
90 Stefanova, Antoaneta 228960#12003/31/1994: #2131
91 Gorjatchev, Victor 228875#12805/31/1995: #2245
92 Vlasov, Egor 228875#12803/06/2000: #2202
93 Smeets, Jan 228661#12204/03/2000: #2199
94 Gershon, Alik 228269#12905/31/1995: #2323
95 Moiseenko, Alexander 228171#13004/30/1995: #2333
96 Ignatiev, Alexander 227975#13403/31/1998: #2601
97 Macieja, Bartlomiej 227858#12709/30/1992: #1946
98 Berg, Emanuel 227559#12911/30/1996: #2676
99 De Vreugt, Dennis 227459#13010/31/1995: #2561
100 Nataf, Igor Alexandre 227371#13604/30/1993: #2084
101 Leroy, Adrien 22726512/31/1995: #2599
102 Sheldon, Ruth 22717204/30/1995: #2458
103 Ni Hua 22687005/31/1998: #2789
104 Radziewicz, Iweta 22666302/29/1996: #2788
105 Halkias, Stelios 22626803/31/1995: #2566
106 Belov, Vladimir 22616108/02/1999: #2657
107 Buckley, Simon T 22595803/27/2000: #2541
108 Pixton, Aaron 22596901/08/2001: #2623
109 Hoang Thanh Trang 22525303/31/1995: #2681
110 Sorin, Maxime 22517503/31/1998: #3022
111 Jirka, Jiri 22497105/31/1998: #3079
112 Dolinskij, Boris 22496805/31/1997: #3101
113 Vavrak, Peter 22485704/30/1997: #3123
114 Bokros, Albert 22485807/31/1997: #3121
115 Hunt, Adam 22456709/30/1995: #2903
116 Votava, Jan 22457310/31/1989: #1527
117 Mah, Karl 22456111/30/1995: #2914
118 Wapner, Jonathan 22446109/30/1996: #3135
119 Bromberger, Stefan 22417302/28/1997: #3163
120 Zumtobel, Thomas 22396308/31/1996: #3170
121 Kempinski, Robert 22397506/30/1992: #2166
122 Sebenik, Matej 22367507/31/1998: #3278
123 Pozdniakov, Sergei 22347312/31/1996: #3296
124 Tzoumbas, Anastasios 22346704/30/1993: #2417
125 Mastrovasilis, Athanasios 22327303/31/1994: #2720
126 Socko, Bartosz 22306010/31/1993: #2560
127 Berczes, Csaba 22285208/06/2001: #2920
128 Hassabis, Demis 22276606/30/1991: #1955
129 Hanley, Craig 22246303/22/1999: #3013
130 Soln, Primoz 22237010/31/1993: #2623
131 Horvath, Adam 22235706/30/1996: #3328
132 Paehtz, Elisabeth 22235701/03/2000: #3122
133 Kotov, Viktor 22237303/05/2001: #2888
134 Jackova, Jana 22226707/31/1997: #3477
135 Bates, Richard 22227312/31/1993: #2675
136 Jirovsky, Petr 22216708/31/1993: #2579
137 Borisek, Jure 22195807/23/2001: #2976
138 Williams, Simon 22195811/30/1994: #2970
139 Galkin, Alexander 22197301/31/1994: #2797
140 Handke, Florian 22177302/28/1997: #3493
141 Ruck, Robert 22177511/30/1992: #2377
142 Hera, Imre Jr 22157009/03/2001: #3123
143 Roiz, Michael 22147409/30/1998: #3650
144 Jakubowski, Krzysztof 22137208/31/1998: #3657
145 Anokhine, Alexej 22137510/31/1996: #3537
146 Flumbort, Andras 22116408/16/1999: #3317
147 Svicevic, Rastko 22087110/31/1994: #3001
148 Fuchs, Georg 22077203/31/1995: #3199
149 Erwich, Frank AS 22076805/10/1999: #3287
150 Goczo, Melinda 22036501/31/1998: #3678
151 Vavra, Pavel 22037002/28/1991: #1971
152 Lautier, Joel 22036203/31/1988: #1254
153 Sorsa, Nuutti 22026004/30/1996: #3608
154 L'Ami, Erwin 22025904/03/2000: #3153
155 Glinert, Stephen 22027505/24/1999: #3354
156 De Bortoli, Peter 22006504/30/1998: #3809
157 Mista, Aleksander 22006712/31/1997: #3893
158 Socko, Monika 21997202/28/1993: #2606
159 Reiss, Tibor 21997201/03/2000: #3385
160 Jakab, Attila 21985212/06/1999: #3370
161 Utnasunov, Alexander 21985612/18/2000: #3279
162 Cyborowski, Lukasz 21977305/31/1995: #3335
163 Erwich, Marc JL 21976108/13/2001: #3271
164 Evelev, Vladimir M 21966306/30/1998: #3901
165 Pizzato, Charles 21967508/31/1995: #3438
166 Gara, Anita 21945802/28/1998: #3835
167 Barbitskij, Aleksey 21947403/05/2001: #3200
168 Teodoro, Eduardo 21947111/30/1993: #2843
169 Petrik, Tomas 21946510/31/1995: #3497
170 Bunzmann, Dimitrij 21946301/31/1997: #3812
171 Bakhtadze, Giorgi 21937501/31/1995: #3318
172 Argiroudis, Stamatis 21937505/31/1995: #3379
173 Bartel, Mateusz 21937301/03/2000: #3465
174 Antal, Gergely 21915503/20/2000: #3271
175 Oral, Tomas 21906711/30/1992: #2531
176 Drozdovskij, Yuri 21907505/17/1999: #3499
177 Gunnarsson, Jon Viktor 21866406/30/1995: #3466
178 Gara, Ticia 21855510/25/1999: #3635
179 Molnar, Laszlo 21856503/15/1999: #3482
180 Fontaine, Robert 21826110/31/1995: #3627
181 Haroutjunian, Gevorg 21807304/30/1996: #3838
182 Efimenko, Zahar 21796807/03/2000: #3460
183 Polovnikova, Ekaterina 21786910/31/1997: #4170
184 Provotorov, Ivan 21787305/14/2001: #3453
185 Zhao Xue 21776704/03/2000: #3406
186 Biro, Andras 21766503/31/1986: #1019
187 Thorfinnsson, Bragi 21756403/31/1996: #3903
188 Nagy, Andras 21706601/31/1997: #4098
189 Stojnic, Miodrag 21677509/30/1994: #3335
190 Kristjansson, Stefan 21676211/30/1997: #4315
191 Solak, Dragan 21677202/28/1995: #3581
192 Gretarsson, Helgi Ass 21666201/31/1992: #2441
193 Karttunen, Mika 21616504/30/1996: #4037
194 Murariu, Andrei 21606502/12/2001: #3498
195 Palo, Davor 21606610/30/2000: #3682
196 Eriksson, Jonas 21587501/31/1997: #4222
197 Markos, Jan 21577306/26/2000: #3656
198 Bakre, Tejas 21566604/30/1996: #4088
199 Szeberenyi, Adam 21515508/31/1998: #4562
200 Charbonneau, Pascal 21517504/30/1998: #4440
201 Kiss, Gedeon 21506412/31/1996: #4317
202 Rotman, Daniel 21506602/28/1993: #2842
203 Stojanovic, Nadezda 21476401/08/2001: #3809
204 Relange, Eloi 21466606/30/1991: #2215
205 Moreno Tejera, Emilio 21407510/30/2000: #3844
206 Helin, Tapio 21385910/31/1998: #4807
207 Trent, Lawrence 21367004/23/2001: #3687
208 Arnason, Throstur 21366607/31/1987: #1124
209 Shkliar, Alexander 21337508/27/2001: #3980
210 Mkrtchian, Lilit 21327407/31/1997: #4561
211 Paehtz, Thomas Jr 21316902/28/1998: #4567
212 Blasko, Istvan 21317212/31/1997: #4733
213 Varadi, Viktor 21277510/31/1998: #4932
214 Neelotpal, Das 21247303/31/1997: #4541
215 Jorgensen, Stig E 21246701/31/1997: #4485
216 Hoekstra, Matthew 21237107/19/1999: #4171
217 Kukovec, Borut 21227411/01/1999: #4069
218 Kryzius, Kestutis 21217502/28/1994: #3419
219 Conlon, Joseph P 21207312/31/1995: #4067
220 Fyllingen, Roy Harald 21207501/31/1990: #1934
221 Lakos, Nikoletta 21207411/30/1993: #3201
222 Conquest, Stuart 21186902/28/1982: #797
223 Werle, Jan 21187201/11/1999: #4766
224 Dembo, Yelena 21187311/30/1998: #5047
225 Vamos, Viktor 21167512/31/1997: #4840
226 Zvara, Petr 21167502/28/1990: #1932
227 Cubas, Jose Fernando 21147503/31/1996: #4349
228 Andres Gonzalez, Alberto 21097308/31/1996: #4450
229 Sisatto, Olli 21097102/28/1997: #4567
230 Berkes, Ferenc 21076208/07/2000: #3984
231 Magnier, Herve 21067508/31/1993: #3123
232 Dorighet, Claudio 21057503/31/1996: #4375
233 Nyback, Tomi 21047504/03/2000: #3858
234 Erdelyi, Zombor 21047207/10/2000: #3954
235 Pfeiffer, Gregor 21027509/30/1992: #2740
236 Kjeld, Matthias 20967403/31/1994: #3500
237 Machin, Giovillavne 20947306/28/1999: #4284
238 Pinter, Gabor 20916712/31/1998: #5257
239 Vatanski, Aleksander 20857504/30/1996: #4405
240 Svoboda, Svatopluk 20767512/31/1998: #5302
241 Schlander, Sabine 20746705/14/2001: #4039

For each player on this list, the rating they possessed on their 15th birthday is listed. That rating was the last one calculated while they were 14 years of age, so it was their "current" rating on the day they turned 15. Players who played an insufficient number of games in recent years will not appear on the list, even though you may see them on lists for younger and/or older birthdays. Any players who had been completely inactive for three years are removed from the list.

Definition of columns in the above list:

# refers to the player's all-time rank on this list, compared to all other players when they turned 15.

Player is the full name of the player. Click on the player's name to see a career progression of their ratings.

Rating is the calculated rating for each player on their 15th birthday.

+/- is the standard deviation of the player's rating estimate. It is based on a geometric average of the number of rated games played in past years. Players who play very frequently will have a smaller +/- value, indicating a greater confidence in the accuracy of their rating. Players whose +/- value exceeds 76 are classified as "inactive" and removed from the ranking list due to their infrequent play against rated opponents. Mathematically, a player's rating is an estimate of their exact strength on their 15th birthday. The +/- value represents the standard deviation of that estimate; the player's true strength on their 15th birthday should be within one standard deviation of their calculated rating approximately 68% of the time, and within two standard deviations of their calculated rating approximately 95% of the time.

Best? is the estimated likelihood that the player was stronger on their 15th birthday than anyone else turning 15. Since ratings are known to be inaccurate, it is possible that a lower-rated player was actually much stronger than their rating would indicate, and it is also possible that other players were weaker than their ratings would indicate. This number indicates the likelihood that the player was indeed the strongest player ever among players turning 15. On a particular list, it will add up to 100% across the complete list of all players. This value is only calculated for the top 100 players on any rating list.

75%? gives a 75%-confidence world ranking for the player. Because ratings are known to be inaccurate, even if a particular player had the third-highest rating ever, among players turning 15, we cannot say with 100% certainty that they were truly one of the three strongest 15-year-old players. This number indicates the all-time rank that we are 75% sure the player is "no worse than". Thus if a player has a value of #12 in this column, we are 75% sure that the player is one of the twelve strongest players ever to turn 15. This value is only calculated for the top 100 players on any rating list.

Date is the exact date that the rating applied to. Click on that date to see the sorted list of all players' ratings on that date.

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