Chessmetrics Ratings: 15th Birthday

#	Player	Rating	+/-
1	Kramnik, Vladimir	2608	61
2	Kamsky, Gata	2594	54
3	Bu Xiangzhi	2532	50
4	Ponomariov, Ruslan	2514	55
5	Polgar, Judit	2514	50
6	Malakhov, Vladimir	2513	53
7	Kasparov, Garry K	2512	69
8	Bacrot, Etienne	2511	49
9	Leko, Peter	2509	48
10	Kundin, Alexander	2504	70

About these ratings

All players on their 15th birthday

#
Player Rating +/- Best? 75%? Rating Date

1 Kramnik, Vladimir 2608 61 42.3% #4 05/31/1990: #58

2 Kamsky, Gata 2594 54 29.3% #4 05/31/1989: #70

3 Bu Xiangzhi 2532 50 4.3% #11 12/04/2000: #236

4 Ponomariov, Ruslan 2514 55 2.6% #14 09/30/1998: #297

5 Polgar, Judit 2514 50 1.9% #14 06/30/1991: #269

6 Malakhov, Vladimir 2513 53 2.3% #14 10/31/1995: #317

7 Kasparov, Garry K 2512 69 5.0% #16 02/28/1978: #137

8 Bacrot, Etienne 2511 49 1.7% #14 12/31/1997: #318

9 Leko, Peter 2509 48 1.4% #14 08/31/1994: #326

10 Kundin, Alexander 2504 70 4.2% #18 05/31/1996: #385

11 Harikrishna, Penteala 2470 49 0.2% #23 05/07/2001: #529

12 Fischer, Robert J 2464 69 1.2% #28 12/31/1957: #100

13 Shirov, Alexei 2458 73 1.2% #31 06/30/1987: #337

14 Inarkiev, Ernesto 2451 64 0.5% #32 12/04/2000: #645

15 Dao Thien Hai 2448 57 0.2% #32 04/30/1993: #611

16 Sadler, Matthew 2440 60 0.2% #35 04/30/1989: #505

17 Zakharov, Alexander S 2439 62 0.2% #35 05/31/1996: #746

18 Alekseev, Evgeny 2431 54 0.1% #37 11/27/2000: #761

19 Morozevich, Alexander 2428 66 0.3% #41 06/30/1992: #673

20 McShane, Luke J 2426 49 #37 12/31/1998: #770

21 Turov, Maxim 2422 62 0.1% #42 11/30/1994: #797

22 Smerdon, David 2419 61 0.1% #43 09/13/1999: #820

23 Short, Nigel D 2414 54 #43 05/31/1980: #351

24 Avrukh, Boris 2414 73 0.3% #49 12/31/1992: #803

25 Volokitin, Andrei 2413 54 #44 06/11/2001: #910

26 Grischuk, Alexander 2406 55 #48 10/31/1998: #948

27 Eljanov, Pavel 2398 75 0.2% #58 04/30/1998: #1068

28 Har Zvi, Ronen 2396 73 0.1% #58 09/30/1991: #876

29 Mecking, Henrique 2394 59 #55 12/31/1966: #222

30 Korobov, Anton 2391 58 #56 06/19/2000: #1051

31 Kaminski, Marcin 2385 55 #58 02/29/1992: #991

32 Almasi, Zoltan 2382 57 #61 07/31/1991: #962

33 Naiditsch, Arkadij 2381 52 #59 10/23/2000: #1107

34 Van den Doel, Erik 2379 64 #64 04/30/1994: #1141

35 Lesiege, Alexandre 2378 62 #64 07/31/1990: #890

36 Popa, Valentin 2374 69 #69 11/30/1989: #872

37 Riazantsev, Alexander 2374 52 #63 09/11/2000: #1212

38 Aronian, Levon 2370 56 #67 09/30/1997: #1338

39 Vajda, Levente 2364 63 #72 01/31/1996: #1466

40 Grigoriants, Sergey 2364 61 #72 10/31/1998: #1374

41 Shinkevich, Vitaly 2364 58 #71 05/31/1997: #1435

42 Miton, Kamil 2363 55 #71 04/12/1999: #1299

43 Jakovenko, Dmitrij 2359 68 #77 05/31/1998: #1475

44 Bryzgalin, Kirill 2355 60 #77 11/30/1997: #1495

45 Gyimesi, Zoltan 2352 73 #84 03/31/1992: #1250

46 Polgar, Sofia 2349 53 #77 10/31/1989: #1003

47 Svidler, Peter 2349 62 #82 05/31/1991: #1184

48 Stevic, Hrvoje 2348 66 #84 12/31/1994: #1481

49 Shaposhnikov, Evgeny 2347 59 #81 05/31/1996: #1641

50 Leitao, Rafael 2343 62 #85 11/30/1994: #1541

51 Sirigos, Nikolaos 2343 75 #92 05/31/1992: #1309

52 Sakaev, Konstantin 2342 75 #92 03/31/1989: #999

53 Krush, Irina 2339 57 #85 11/30/1998: #1649

54 Vescovi, Giovanni P 2339 60 #87 05/31/1993: #1454

55 Parker, Jonathan 2339 64 #88 04/30/1991: #1242

56 Agdestein, Simen 2339 66 #89 04/30/1982: #561

57 Schwartzman, Gabriel 2339 61 #87 09/30/1991: #1296

58 Gross, David 2338 68 #91 06/30/1993: #1463

59 Adams, Michael 2333 73 #96 10/31/1986: #738

60 Krakops, Maris 2332 71 #96 03/31/1993: #1499

61 Navara, David 2331 54 #90 03/27/2000: #1663

62 Topalov, Veselin 2328 66 #96 02/28/1990: #1206

63 Blehm, Pawel 2327 59 #93 03/31/1995: #1735

64 Chudnovsky, Jacob 2325 68 #99 06/30/1995: #1800

65 Geller, Jakov 2324 63 #98 08/06/2001: #1748

66 Sepman, Yelius 2323 72 #102 03/01/1999: #1696

67 Vallejo Pons, Francisco 2321 53 #95 07/31/1997: #1979

68 Szabo, Gergely 2320 75 #105 03/31/1998: #1942

69 Acs, Peter 2318 49 #96 04/30/1996: #2009

70 Anand, Viswanathan 2318 75 #107 11/30/1984: #721

71 Kumaran, Dharshan 2317 62 #102 05/31/1990: #1255

72 Shaked, Tal 2316 67 #105 01/31/1993: #1674

73 Liss, Eran 2315 72 #108 06/30/1990: #1298

74 Mamedov, Nidjat 2314 74 #109 03/27/2000: #1855

75 Batsanin, Dmitry 2314 56 #101 03/31/1998: #2038

76 Vovsha, Eli 2312 55 #102 01/31/2000: #2004

77 Guseinov, Kadir 2311 61 #106 05/21/2001: #1896

78 Smirnov, Pavel 2308 65 #109 03/31/1997: #2175

79 Fressinet, Laurent 2307 63 #109 10/31/1996: #2196

80 Libiszewski, Fabien 2305 69 #113 12/31/1998: #2133

81 Anisimov, Pavel 2303 66 #113 04/16/2001: #1979

82 Reinaldo Castineira, Roi 2300 75 #120 03/31/1995: #2075

83 Hummel, Patrick 2300 67 #116 06/07/1999: #2071

84 Gashimov, Vugar 2297 66 #117 07/23/2001: #2061

85 Potkin, Vladimir 2296 71 #120 05/31/1997: #2356

86 Stefansson, Hannes 2296 66 #117 06/30/1987: #904

87 Dudukin, Ilya 2294 73 #122 06/21/1999: #2153

88 Kosteniuk, Alexandra 2293 60 #117 04/19/1999: #2166

89 Bruzon Bautista, Lazaro 2291 65 #121 04/30/1997: #2466

90 Stefanova, Antoaneta 2289 60 #120 03/31/1994: #2131

91 Gorjatchev, Victor 2288 75 #128 05/31/1995: #2245

92 Vlasov, Egor 2288 75 #128 03/06/2000: #2202

93 Smeets, Jan 2286 61 #122 04/03/2000: #2199

94 Gershon, Alik 2282 69 #129 05/31/1995: #2323

95 Moiseenko, Alexander 2281 71 #130 04/30/1995: #2333

96 Ignatiev, Alexander 2279 75 #134 03/31/1998: #2601

97 Macieja, Bartlomiej 2278 58 #127 09/30/1992: #1946

98 Berg, Emanuel 2275 59 #129 11/30/1996: #2676

99 De Vreugt, Dennis 2274 59 #130 10/31/1995: #2561

100 Nataf, Igor Alexandre 2273 71 #136 04/30/1993: #2084

101 Leroy, Adrien 2272 65 12/31/1995: #2599

102 Sheldon, Ruth 2271 72 04/30/1995: #2458

103 Ni Hua 2268 70 05/31/1998: #2789

104 Radziewicz, Iweta 2266 63 02/29/1996: #2788

105 Halkias, Stelios 2262 68 03/31/1995: #2566

106 Belov, Vladimir 2261 61 08/02/1999: #2657

107 Buckley, Simon T 2259 58 03/27/2000: #2541

108 Pixton, Aaron 2259 69 01/08/2001: #2623

109 Hoang Thanh Trang 2252 53 03/31/1995: #2681

110 Sorin, Maxime 2251 75 03/31/1998: #3022

111 Jirka, Jiri 2249 71 05/31/1998: #3079

112 Dolinskij, Boris 2249 68 05/31/1997: #3101

113 Vavrak, Peter 2248 57 04/30/1997: #3123

114 Bokros, Albert 2248 58 07/31/1997: #3121

115 Hunt, Adam 2245 67 09/30/1995: #2903

116 Votava, Jan 2245 73 10/31/1989: #1527

117 Mah, Karl 2245 61 11/30/1995: #2914

118 Wapner, Jonathan 2244 61 09/30/1996: #3135

119 Bromberger, Stefan 2241 73 02/28/1997: #3163

120 Zumtobel, Thomas 2239 63 08/31/1996: #3170

121 Kempinski, Robert 2239 75 06/30/1992: #2166

122 Sebenik, Matej 2236 75 07/31/1998: #3278

123 Pozdniakov, Sergei 2234 73 12/31/1996: #3296

124 Tzoumbas, Anastasios 2234 67 04/30/1993: #2417

125 Mastrovasilis, Athanasios 2232 73 03/31/1994: #2720

126 Socko, Bartosz 2230 60 10/31/1993: #2560

127 Berczes, Csaba 2228 52 08/06/2001: #2920

128 Hassabis, Demis 2227 66 06/30/1991: #1955

129 Hanley, Craig 2224 63 03/22/1999: #3013

130 Soln, Primoz 2223 70 10/31/1993: #2623

131 Horvath, Adam 2223 57 06/30/1996: #3328

132 Paehtz, Elisabeth 2223 57 01/03/2000: #3122

133 Kotov, Viktor 2223 73 03/05/2001: #2888

134 Jackova, Jana 2222 67 07/31/1997: #3477

135 Bates, Richard 2222 73 12/31/1993: #2675

136 Jirovsky, Petr 2221 67 08/31/1993: #2579

137 Borisek, Jure 2219 58 07/23/2001: #2976

138 Williams, Simon 2219 58 11/30/1994: #2970

139 Galkin, Alexander 2219 73 01/31/1994: #2797

140 Handke, Florian 2217 73 02/28/1997: #3493

141 Ruck, Robert 2217 75 11/30/1992: #2377

142 Hera, Imre Jr 2215 70 09/03/2001: #3123

143 Roiz, Michael 2214 74 09/30/1998: #3650

144 Jakubowski, Krzysztof 2213 72 08/31/1998: #3657

145 Anokhine, Alexej 2213 75 10/31/1996: #3537

146 Flumbort, Andras 2211 64 08/16/1999: #3317

147 Svicevic, Rastko 2208 71 10/31/1994: #3001

148 Fuchs, Georg 2207 72 03/31/1995: #3199

149 Erwich, Frank AS 2207 68 05/10/1999: #3287

150 Goczo, Melinda 2203 65 01/31/1998: #3678

151 Vavra, Pavel 2203 70 02/28/1991: #1971

152 Lautier, Joel 2203 62 03/31/1988: #1254

153 Sorsa, Nuutti 2202 60 04/30/1996: #3608

154 L'Ami, Erwin 2202 59 04/03/2000: #3153

155 Glinert, Stephen 2202 75 05/24/1999: #3354

156 De Bortoli, Peter 2200 65 04/30/1998: #3809

157 Mista, Aleksander 2200 67 12/31/1997: #3893

158 Socko, Monika 2199 72 02/28/1993: #2606

159 Reiss, Tibor 2199 72 01/03/2000: #3385

160 Jakab, Attila 2198 52 12/06/1999: #3370

161 Utnasunov, Alexander 2198 56 12/18/2000: #3279

162 Cyborowski, Lukasz 2197 73 05/31/1995: #3335

163 Erwich, Marc JL 2197 61 08/13/2001: #3271

164 Evelev, Vladimir M 2196 63 06/30/1998: #3901

165 Pizzato, Charles 2196 75 08/31/1995: #3438

166 Gara, Anita 2194 58 02/28/1998: #3835

167 Barbitskij, Aleksey 2194 74 03/05/2001: #3200

168 Teodoro, Eduardo 2194 71 11/30/1993: #2843

169 Petrik, Tomas 2194 65 10/31/1995: #3497

170 Bunzmann, Dimitrij 2194 63 01/31/1997: #3812

171 Bakhtadze, Giorgi 2193 75 01/31/1995: #3318

172 Argiroudis, Stamatis 2193 75 05/31/1995: #3379

173 Bartel, Mateusz 2193 73 01/03/2000: #3465

174 Antal, Gergely 2191 55 03/20/2000: #3271

175 Oral, Tomas 2190 67 11/30/1992: #2531

176 Drozdovskij, Yuri 2190 75 05/17/1999: #3499

177 Gunnarsson, Jon Viktor 2186 64 06/30/1995: #3466

178 Gara, Ticia 2185 55 10/25/1999: #3635

179 Molnar, Laszlo 2185 65 03/15/1999: #3482

180 Fontaine, Robert 2182 61 10/31/1995: #3627

181 Haroutjunian, Gevorg 2180 73 04/30/1996: #3838

182 Efimenko, Zahar 2179 68 07/03/2000: #3460

183 Polovnikova, Ekaterina 2178 69 10/31/1997: #4170

184 Provotorov, Ivan 2178 73 05/14/2001: #3453

185 Zhao Xue 2177 67 04/03/2000: #3406

186 Biro, Andras 2176 65 03/31/1986: #1019

187 Thorfinnsson, Bragi 2175 64 03/31/1996: #3903

188 Nagy, Andras 2170 66 01/31/1997: #4098

189 Stojnic, Miodrag 2167 75 09/30/1994: #3335

190 Kristjansson, Stefan 2167 62 11/30/1997: #4315

191 Solak, Dragan 2167 72 02/28/1995: #3581

192 Gretarsson, Helgi Ass 2166 62 01/31/1992: #2441

193 Karttunen, Mika 2161 65 04/30/1996: #4037

194 Murariu, Andrei 2160 65 02/12/2001: #3498

195 Palo, Davor 2160 66 10/30/2000: #3682

196 Eriksson, Jonas 2158 75 01/31/1997: #4222

197 Markos, Jan 2157 73 06/26/2000: #3656

198 Bakre, Tejas 2156 66 04/30/1996: #4088

199 Szeberenyi, Adam 2151 55 08/31/1998: #4562

200 Charbonneau, Pascal 2151 75 04/30/1998: #4440

201 Kiss, Gedeon 2150 64 12/31/1996: #4317

202 Rotman, Daniel 2150 66 02/28/1993: #2842

203 Stojanovic, Nadezda 2147 64 01/08/2001: #3809

204 Relange, Eloi 2146 66 06/30/1991: #2215

205 Moreno Tejera, Emilio 2140 75 10/30/2000: #3844

206 Helin, Tapio 2138 59 10/31/1998: #4807

207 Trent, Lawrence 2136 70 04/23/2001: #3687

208 Arnason, Throstur 2136 66 07/31/1987: #1124

209 Shkliar, Alexander 2133 75 08/27/2001: #3980

210 Mkrtchian, Lilit 2132 74 07/31/1997: #4561

211 Paehtz, Thomas Jr 2131 69 02/28/1998: #4567

212 Blasko, Istvan 2131 72 12/31/1997: #4733

213 Varadi, Viktor 2127 75 10/31/1998: #4932

214 Neelotpal, Das 2124 73 03/31/1997: #4541

215 Jorgensen, Stig E 2124 67 01/31/1997: #4485

216 Hoekstra, Matthew 2123 71 07/19/1999: #4171

217 Kukovec, Borut 2122 74 11/01/1999: #4069

218 Kryzius, Kestutis 2121 75 02/28/1994: #3419

219 Conlon, Joseph P 2120 73 12/31/1995: #4067

220 Fyllingen, Roy Harald 2120 75 01/31/1990: #1934

221 Lakos, Nikoletta 2120 74 11/30/1993: #3201

222 Conquest, Stuart 2118 69 02/28/1982: #797

223 Werle, Jan 2118 72 01/11/1999: #4766

224 Dembo, Yelena 2118 73 11/30/1998: #5047

225 Vamos, Viktor 2116 75 12/31/1997: #4840

226 Zvara, Petr 2116 75 02/28/1990: #1932

227 Cubas, Jose Fernando 2114 75 03/31/1996: #4349

228 Andres Gonzalez, Alberto 2109 73 08/31/1996: #4450

229 Sisatto, Olli 2109 71 02/28/1997: #4567

230 Berkes, Ferenc 2107 62 08/07/2000: #3984

231 Magnier, Herve 2106 75 08/31/1993: #3123

232 Dorighet, Claudio 2105 75 03/31/1996: #4375

233 Nyback, Tomi 2104 75 04/03/2000: #3858

234 Erdelyi, Zombor 2104 72 07/10/2000: #3954

235 Pfeiffer, Gregor 2102 75 09/30/1992: #2740

236 Kjeld, Matthias 2096 74 03/31/1994: #3500

237 Machin, Giovillavne 2094 73 06/28/1999: #4284

238 Pinter, Gabor 2091 67 12/31/1998: #5257

239 Vatanski, Aleksander 2085 75 04/30/1996: #4405

240 Svoboda, Svatopluk 2076 75 12/31/1998: #5302

241 Schlander, Sabine 2074 67 05/14/2001: #4039

For each player on this list, the rating they possessed on their 15th birthday is listed. That rating was the last one calculated while they were 14 years of age, so it was their "current" rating on the day they turned 15. Players who played an insufficient number of games in recent years will not appear on the list, even though you may see them on lists for younger and/or older birthdays. Any players who had been completely inactive for three years are removed from the list.

Definition of columns in the above list:

# refers to the player's all-time rank on this list, compared to all other players when they turned 15.

Player is the full name of the player. Click on the player's name to see a career progression of their ratings.

Rating is the calculated rating for each player on their 15th birthday.

+/- is the standard deviation of the player's rating estimate. It is based on a geometric average of the number of rated games played in past years. Players who play very frequently will have a smaller +/- value, indicating a greater confidence in the accuracy of their rating. Players whose +/- value exceeds 76 are classified as "inactive" and removed from the ranking list due to their infrequent play against rated opponents. Mathematically, a player's rating is an estimate of their exact strength on their 15th birthday. The +/- value represents the standard deviation of that estimate; the player's true strength on their 15th birthday should be within one standard deviation of their calculated rating approximately 68% of the time, and within two standard deviations of their calculated rating approximately 95% of the time.

Best? is the estimated likelihood that the player was stronger on their 15th birthday than anyone else turning 15. Since ratings are known to be inaccurate, it is possible that a lower-rated player was actually much stronger than their rating would indicate, and it is also possible that other players were weaker than their ratings would indicate. This number indicates the likelihood that the player was indeed the strongest player ever among players turning 15. On a particular list, it will add up to 100% across the complete list of all players. This value is only calculated for the top 100 players on any rating list.

75%? gives a 75%-confidence world ranking for the player. Because ratings are known to be inaccurate, even if a particular player had the third-highest rating ever, among players turning 15, we cannot say with 100% certainty that they were truly one of the three strongest 15-year-old players. This number indicates the all-time rank that we are 75% sure the player is "no worse than". Thus if a player has a value of #12 in this column, we are 75% sure that the player is one of the twelve strongest players ever to turn 15. This value is only calculated for the top 100 players on any rating list.

Date is the exact date that the rating applied to. Click on that date to see the sorted list of all players' ratings on that date.